Archive - Inexact Science

Deep vs fast thinking

A parable of scholars and firefighters

Jul 8

June 2024

Most ideas fail, and that's fine

On Camus and A/B tests

Jun 18

May 2024

Are 10x happiness boosts possible?

10% happier vs 10x happier

May 31

March 2024

Cowen's First Law is an epistemological superpower

A simple idea to become a better thinker

Mar 27

Does a hundred wrongs make one right?

How a bet over lunch changed behavioral economics forever

Mar 4

January 2024

The drunkard and the lady

The philosophy of random walks

Jan 23

December 2023

F**k personal branding

An opinionated manifesto

Dec 13, 2023

The case for narrow utilitarianism

Taken to extremes, utilitarianism is dangerous. The core ideas, though, are sound. A personal reflection.

Dec 8, 2023

November 2023

More info, more problems

How we ran a forecasting experiment

Nov 16, 2023

October 2023

My biggest mistakes as a data-science team lead

Mistakes, I've had a few

Oct 27, 2023

What if the Great Filter is complacency?

Maybe it all really ends with a whimper

Oct 20, 2023

September 2023

How I once won the lottery

A childhood lesson on probability

Sep 6, 2023

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